Trade deals with Australia and New Zealand (NZ) have been announced with much fanfare over recent months. However, progress has stalled in converting these agreements-in-principle into legal texts. The target that this would be concluded by the end of the year now looks unlikely.
It is claimed that this is chiefly due to the UK rowing-back on the market access offered on beef and lamb so that the annual tariff-free quotas are based on carcase weight equivalent and not product weight (i.e. products shipped such as boneless beef or legs of lamb). A carcase weight equivalent basis would essentially mean that there would be less scope for Antipodean suppliers to export high-value beef and lamb cuts to the UK market and capture the shares of British producers.
Whilst the proposed EU-Mercosur trade agreement (which is being stalled by EU Member States) provided tariff-free quotas based on carcase weight equivalents, such arrangements are the exception in international Free-Trade Agreements (FTAs). As the UK has formally applied to join the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), which Australia and NZ are members of, both countries are threatening to stall the UK’s application if their tariff-free market access for beef and lamb are calculated on this basis.
It remains to be seen how the impasse will be resolved, but one suspects that given the UK Government’s eagerness to join the CPTPP, it will concede on offering both countries access based on product weight. This would mean some increased competition for UK producers and exporters from the EU but, as previous articles have noted, both Australia and NZ are heavily focused on the Asia-Pacific markets presently, thus limiting their capability to supply the UK market as well.