The level of tariffs that the UK will levy after Brexit is due to be published shortly. It has been rumoured for some weeks that the publication was ‘imminent’. However, like many things regarding Brexit, it has been delayed. The level of these tariffs is crucial for the agri-food sector, especially in a No-Deal scenario, as they will determine the level of protection UK producers have from low-cost global imports. The amount of Tariff Rate Quotas granted to importers, another vital issue, should also be proposed at the same time.
In his recent speech at the recent NFU conference, the Defra Secretary mentioned that the UK’s “valuable domestic production” in areas such as sheep meat, beef, dairy products, pig meat and poultry would continue to be safeguarded when the UK announces its new tariffs. However, what went unsaid, is the prospect of increased levels of tariff-free quotas in areas like beef which would approximate the UK’s annual import requirement (circa 300Kt) which was reported shortly after Michael Gove’s speech. This could potentially open a significant proportion of the UK market to imports from countries such as Brazil, Argentina, Australia, as well as EU Member States such as Ireland and would therefore have a negative effect on prices, although British producers would still benefit from the Red Tractor branding premium.
Mr. Gove also reiterated a commitment that the UK would not lower its food standards in order to secure free trade deals. That said, it will be important to pay attention to the nuances underneath such statements. It could be argued for instance that a standard could continue to be upheld if the intended outcome is the same as before. However, most of the focus on standards in the context of trade negotiations is on the processes (methodologies) underpinning those standards. If these diverge, or are relaxed in some fashion, then it is likely to be viewed by the EU as a lowering of standards, even if the UK argues that the same outcome is being achieved.
These points highlight the need to pay close attention to detail in the coming weeks and months. It is often what is left unsaid is more telling than what is set-out in keynote speeches.