In his first Budget, less than four weeks after being given the Chancellor’s job, the Rishi Sunak announced an increase in spending, in large part to offset the economic effects of the Covid-19 outbreak.
Apart from the anti-virus fiscal boost the Budget was rather short on eye-catching policy initiatives. Although there was a lot of extra spending (and consequently extra borrowing) most of it went on the usual areas of the NHS, schools, housing, police etc. There is also to be an extra £175bn over the next five years for infrastructure. This includes a doubling of spending on flood defences to £5.2bn over six years. All this could have big effects on landowners, but only in the locality where the projects are occurring.
Another Budget is planned in the autumn and the Chancellor may be saving some other initiatives until then – once he has got his feet-under-the desk more and the effects of Covid 19. The farming sector may just be pleased the rumoured changes in the agricultural red diesel rebate and Inheritance Tax did not come to anything.
Some of the main points are;
- To offset the slowdown caused by Covid-19, there is to be additional Business Rates relief for businesses is the retail, hospitality and leisure sector – this may have some benefits for diversified farm businesses. There is to be review of the whole Business Rates system.
- Many small businesses do not pay business rates due to the existing Small Business Rate Relief (SBRR). There will be a fund of £2.2 billion for Local Authorities in England to pay a Small Business Grant of £3,000.
- The rules on Statutory Sick Pay (SSP) will be amended so that workers can claim it from the first day of being off sick. Employers with less than 250 staff will be able to claim back the full cost of SSP from the Government.
- There will be extra ‘Time to Pay‘ measures introduced by HMRC. Also a Business Interruption Loan Scheme.
- Extra spending will be made available to the NHS to cope with Covid-19. Overall, the ‘virus’ measures in the budget amount to £12bn of extra spending. Other measures add around £18bn. This equates to a total ‘fiscal boost’ of 1.3% of the economy – very large numbers.
- The National Insurance threshold will increase from £8,632 to £9,500 from April. The Employment Allowance will rise from £3,000 to £4,000 per business.
- The planned decrease in Corporation Tax to 17% will not now happen and it will remain at 19%.
- The lifetime limit on Entrepreneurs’ Relief will be reduced from £10 million to £1 million from the 11th March 2020.
- The Structures and Buildings Allowance (SBA) is to be increased from 2% to 3%.
- Fuel duty is frozen once again. As is the duty on beer, wine and spirits. Although agriculture retains its red diesel exemption, it will be removed for other sectors such as construction.
- There will be funding of £640m for a ‘Nature for Climate Fund‘. This will aim to see tree planting increase by 600% over current rates. It will also fund peatland restoration. There are no details on how such schemes will work at present.
- Investment in Research and Development will be boosted. This includes investing £1.4bn over 10 years at the animal health science facility at Weybridge.
- The was no further detail on the Shared Prosperity Fund, but more detail on this replacement for EU Rural Development funding is expected with the publication of the Comprehensive Spending Review in July.
- The Government has promised a Statement on the Planning system, with a White Paper to follow in the spring. The desire seems to be to speed up the Planning process to drive growth.
The Budget statement also, as usual, provided the latest economic forecasts from the Office of Budget Responsibility (OBR). The UK economy grew by 1.4% in 2019. Economic growth in 2020 is now forecast to be 1.1% – downgraded from the 1.4% estimated in spring 2019. The forecast for 2021 is growth at 1.8%. It should be noted that these forecasts were undertaken before the effects of Covid-19 became clear, so are subject to (downwards) revision.