Last month, the Irish Government published its Climate Action Plan. This is designed to achieve a 51% reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions across the Irish economy by 2030 and achieve net-zero emissions by 2050. The key points from an agricultural perspective are;
- Agricultural emissions reduction target: Irish agriculture is tasked with reducing its footprint by 22-30% in 2030 versus the 2018 base of 22.03 million tonnes (MT) of CO2 equivalent. This equates to a 4-6Mt reduction in annual emissions. This target is to be achieved via;
- GHG-efficient farming practices: increased uptake of innovative practices to help to improve animal breeding (genetics) to assist with earlier finishing of cattle (reduce average slaughter age of prime animals from 27 to 24 months by 2030). Targets to reduce crude protein in animal diets (0.7Mt reduction) and increased organic farming. Reduced fertiliser usage is also a key target, particularly chemical nitrogen (325-350Kt by 2030), coupled with greater utilisation of clover and multi-species swards. There will also be a research programme to bring new technologies and feed additives on stream to aid efforts. Notably, there is not a specific target to reduce livestock numbers which had been a major concern for farmers.
- Diversification of farming activities: includes exploring the development of a carbon farming model and increasing organic farming. There is €260 million ear-marked under the CAP Pillar II spending for an organic farming scheme. This aims to switch an extra 275,000 ha to organics by 2030. Current organic area is 76,000 ha and by 2030 this would increase to 350,000 ha under the plans and reduce farming’s carbon footprint by an estimated 0.3Mt.
- Biomethane business opportunities: exploring the possibility of increasing biomethane production from sustainable feedstocks such as waste and agriculture. This is part of a wider effort to inject 1.6TWh of biomethane into the gas grid by 2030 which is intended to result in a 0.1-0.2MtCO2e abatement of emissions in agriculture.
- Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF): has a 37-58% emissions reduction target range by 2030. Here the focus is on re-afforestation, rewetting of peatlands and more efficient grassland management. Specific objectives include;
- Forestry: by 2030, achieve a planting rate of 8,000 ha/year to increase carbon sequestration. A new forestry programme will be prepared for launch in 2023.
- Deforestation: limit to less than 900 ha/year by 2030.
- Peatlands and wetlands: by 2030, rehabilitate 65,000 ha of peatlands and reduce management intensity of 80,000 ha of drained organic soils. The latter target could potentially affect grass production and will be aided by a shift to organic farming.
- Grassland (mineral): improve the management of 450,000 ha of (mineral) grasslands to increase carbon sequestration.
- Cover crops: increase the area under cover crops to 50,000 ha.
- Other targets: of relevance to agriculture include;
- Renewable electricity: increase renewables’ proportion of electricity production to 80% by 2030. An extra 8GW of electricity from onshore wind and an extra 1.5-2.5 GW from solar PV is also targeted. This will include a small-scale generation scheme for farmers, businesses and communities to generate their own electricity and to feed surpluses back into the grid.
- Zero emission gas storage: to include greater utilisation of biogas/biomethane as well as green hydrogen. This includes ambitions to blend zero-emission gas into fuel use in buildings and industry.
- Biofuel blend rates: bioethanol blend rate will increase to 10% by 2030 to reduce petrol car emissions. Biodiesel blend rate to reach 20% in the same period.
Whilst many farmers are concerned about how the Climate Action Plan is going to affect their businesses, there was some relief that a specified reduction in livestock numbers was not included. That said, many believe that significant advancements will be required in areas such as genetics, feed additives etc. for the 22-30% target to be attainable. With the eye-watering price hikes in chemical fertiliser, projected to be 120-200% higher in Ireland in 2022 versus 2021, many see this as being the biggest driver of decreasing usage in the short-term.
The move towards organics is in line with targets elsewhere in the EU. However, whilst organics might help in terms of emissions, the gains are projected to be relatively small and many are concerned that there is insufficient demand for premium-priced organic produce and these premia will erode with significant supply increases.
More information is available via: https://www.gov.ie/en/publication/6223e-climate-action-plan-2021/