The latest Farm Business Income figures released by Defra show a mixed picture for farm profitability. The data relates the 2022/23 year – covering harvest 2022 and the 2022 BPS payment. They are an update of the estimates released in the spring (see https://abcbooks.co.uk/farm-business-income-9/). Although titled ‘income’ what the series shows is average profit at the farm level for a typical farm in each sector. A summary of the results is included in the table below.

They key sectors of Cereals and Dairy both experienced an increase in profits – even on the high levels seen in the previous 2021/22 year. Whilst costs were higher, sale prices for both grains and milk more than offset this.
General Cropping farm profits were pulled-down by lower outputs from potatoes and sugar beet. Readers will remember the drought in the summer of 2022 which reduced yields of these two crops.
The grazing livestock sector, both in the lowlands and uplands, recorded lower profits. Although sales prices for beef and lamb were reasonable, it was higher costs that really caught up with these type of businesses last year.
The Pigs figures are a little odd – showing a massive jump in profits when most businesses were struggling with high costs and only slowly increasing prices. However, delving a little deeper into the data, a large amount of the increase in profit comes from a big jump in diversification income. It is difficult to believe that pig farms really all started alternative enterprises in 2022/23. What seems more likely is that there is a slightly different population of farmers being sampled. Promar took over the Farm Business Survey for the 2022/23 year. It has always been difficult to recruit certain categories of farmer to the survey, including pigs, due to the relatively small number of them. It may well be that data from different businesses have been collected.
Looking to the current, 2023/24 year, first Defra estimates will be published in the spring. These are likely to show sharp falls in the profits from Cereals and Dairy farms as output prices have fallen considerably. General Cropping farms could well record a rise with better potato returns and high beet prices. Grazing Livestock may well also show a small recovery, as a result of the high beef prices this year and also firm lamb markets.
More data is available at – https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/farm-business-income .